Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 83.135605 92.992738 103.033195 113.994502 125.593840 137.474393 150.534147
2025-08-31 66.912050 81.049352 96.064961 113.074099 131.686012 151.323138 173.500730
2025-09-07 58.367878 75.021276 93.253401 114.437727 138.135160 163.612376 192.865687
2025-09-14 52.093213 70.624068 91.458836 116.192823 144.364685 175.108807 210.866564
2025-09-21 45.539882 65.180489 87.855565 115.335249 147.165720 182.379132 223.808219
2025-09-28 39.226823 59.425778 83.386433 113.022186 147.910150 187.003783 233.488530
2025-10-05 37.073960 58.543867 84.511621 117.088160 155.861878 199.682573 252.152664
2025-10-12 34.447862 56.814956 84.414664 119.534888 161.791625 209.947004 267.994967
2025-10-19 30.728808 53.365244 81.955678 118.927988 163.951704 215.728585 278.595756
2025-10-26 27.422492 50.198564 79.643035 118.320514 165.962819 221.219204 288.762484
2025-11-02 24.986584 48.030540 78.458914 118.986336 169.405835 228.310844 300.724249
2025-11-09 22.176870 45.106383 76.117934 118.056778 170.795420 232.890404 309.684511
2025-11-16 20.007544 42.975295 74.749809 118.326625 173.658160 239.258046 320.816745
2025-11-23 17.554462 40.208661 72.376618 117.189333 174.697898 243.391391 329.282128
2025-11-30 16.164031 38.971497 72.021776 118.614070 178.882134 251.270419 342.157012
2025-12-07 15.004735 38.004679 71.978409 120.399840 183.486503 259.637638 355.603620
2025-12-14 13.180454 35.763958 70.005989 119.525540 184.653789 263.776889 363.964393
2025-12-21 11.141954 32.929360 67.020212 117.164437 183.828362 265.407466 369.256825
2025-12-28 10.923195 33.336076 68.813077 121.314339 191.377975 277.335786 386.962332
2026-01-04 10.318470 32.971763 69.418119 123.810950 196.780118 286.614739 401.475634
2026-01-11 9.046020 31.206345 67.816727 123.191718 198.091092 290.802502 409.805908
2026-01-18 7.892314 29.529534 66.262655 122.571872 199.351950 294.893020 417.992596
2026-01-25 7.100553 28.496557 65.658832 123.251253 202.292245 301.060235 428.698827